TOURISM AND RECREATION POTENTIAL AS A DRIVER OF REGIONAL ECONOMIC SECURITY

Abstract

The article examines the tourism and recreation potential as a driver of regional economic security. The aim of the study is to identify and systematize the key directions of tourism impact on macro- and microeconomic indicators that determine the resilience of the regional economy to external and internal shocks. The theoretical framework comprises notions of economic security, clustering of tourism flows, multiplier effects of tourism, and principles of diversification of the economic structure. The methodology combines quantitative and qualitative methods: monitoring of tourism flows, evaluation of expenditure multipliers in the services sector, and expert assessments using the Delphi method to determine priorities for the development of infrastructure and business models. The paper identifies the main mechanisms for preserving and enhancing regional economic security through tourism: stabilizing local household incomes through seasonal and off-season flows, developing small and medium-sized enterprises in the hospitality sector, and supporting local producers through partner networks with micro-logistics and digital solutions. An analysis of regional advantages highlights the value of unique natural and cultural resources, transport accessibility, service quality, and governance of tourist infrastructure. Risks related to resource depreciation, dependence on external factors (local policy, global tourism trends, ecological constraints) and potential crises in adjacent sectors are discussed. Practical recommendations include: formulating an integrated strategy for regional tourism development with an emphasis on sustainable tourism and adaptive business models; implementing digital platforms to promote and manage flows; investing in infrastructure and personnel with a focus on improving service quality; stimulating local cooperation between the agro-industrial complex, cultural and natural resources; and developing monitoring and impact assessment mechanisms on economic security. The paper concludes with quantitative development scenarios across different regional contexts and criteria for evaluating the effectiveness of implemented measures. The rationalized tourism and recreation potential can become a solid foundation for regional economic security under conditions of systemic planning, diversification of offerings, and integration with local resources.